• All climate models show continued warming of surface air temperatures in the future. However, for rainfall, which shows much greater variations across space and through time, there is less agreement among climate models. Although precipitation intensification is emerging in the observed record across many regions of the world (Fischer 2016; Prein et al. 2016), in many cases the models do not agree on whether a place will become drier or wetter (Sippel et al. 2017). Downscaled climate models are so far of limited operational use for planning except, possibly, in the case of very large-scale water resources and hydropower projects.