Closer to home, while huge changes may take place in the nature of holidays, the number of British tourists will remain broadly static, estimated at 46 million holidays a year into the medium term, according to ABTA. 'The very large majority of Britons take holidays in Spain, France and Italy,' says Tipton. 'That won't change much unless we have a huge, unexpected rise in the population. We've more or less reached capacity in these countries - they're saturated.'