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What Is The International Monetary System?The international monetary system refers to the institutional arrangements that countries adopt to govern exchange ratesA floating exchange rate system exists when a country allows the foreign exchange market to determine the relative value of a currency a dirty float exists when a country tries to hold the value of its currency within some range of a reference currencyA fixed exchange rate system exists when countries fix their currencies against each otherEuropean Monetary System (EMS)A pegged exchange rate system exists when a country fixes the value of its currency relative to a reference currency What Was The Gold Standard?The gold standard refers to a system in which countries peg currencies to gold and guarantee their convertibilitythe gold standard dates back to ancient times when gold coins were a medium of exchange, unit of account, and store of valuepayment for imports was made in gold or silverlater, payment was made in paper currency which was linked to gold at a fixed rate in the 1880s, most nations followed the gold standard$1 = 23.22 grains of "fine" (pure) gold (480 grains = 1 ounce)the gold par value refers to the amount of a currency needed to purchase one ounce of gold ($20.67/Ounce)Why Did The Gold Standard Make Sense? The great strength of the gold standard was that it contained a powerful mechanism for achieving balance-of-trade equilibrium-when the income a country residents earn from its exports is equal to the money its residents pay for importsThe gold standard worked well from the 1870s until 1914 but, many governments financed their World War ii expenditures by printing money and so, created inflationPeople lost confidence in the system demanded gold for their currency putting pressure on countries ' gold reserves, and forcing them to suspend gold convertibilityBy 1939, the gold standard was deadWhat Was The Bretton Woods System?In 1944, representatives from 44 countries met at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to design a new international monetary system that would facilitate postwar economic growth Under the new agreement a fixed exchange rate system was establishedall currencies were fixed to gold, but only the U.S. dollar was directly convertible to golddevaluations could not to be used for competitive purposesa country could not devalue its currency by more than 10% without IMF approvalWhat Institutions Were Established At Bretton Woods?The Bretton Woods agreement also established two multinational institutionsThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) to maintain order in the international monetary system through a combination of discipline and flexibilityrequiring fixed exchange rates stopped competitive devaluations and brought stability to the world trade environment fixed exchange rates imposed monetary discipline on countries, limiting price inflationin cases of fundamental disequilibrium, devaluations were permitted the IMF lent foreign currencies to members during short periods of balance-of-payments deficit, when a rapid tightening of monetary or fiscal policy would hurt domestic employmentWhat Institutions Were Established At Bretton Woods?The World Bank to promote general economic development-also called the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD)Countries can borrow from the World Bank in two ways under the IBRD scheme, money is raised through bond sales in the international capital marketborrowers pay a market rate of interest-the banks cost of funds plus a margin for expenses. through the International Development Agency, an arm of the bank created in 1960IDA loans go only to the poorest countriesWhy Did The Fixed Exchange Rate System Collapse?Bretton Woods worked well until the late 1960sIt collapsed when huge increases in welfare programs and the Vietnam War were financed by increasing the money supply and causing significant inflation Other countries increased the value of their currencies relative to the U.S. dollar in response to speculation the dollar would be devaluedHowever, because the system relied on an economically well managed U.s. when the U.S. began to print money, run high trade deficits, and experience high inflation, the system was strained to the breaking point – the U.S. dollar came under speculative attackWhat Was The Jamaica Agreement?A new exchange rate system was established in 1976 at a meeting in Jamaica The rules that were agreed on then, are still in place todayUnder the Jamaican agreementfloating rates were declared acceptablegold was abandoned as a reserve assettotal annual IMF quotas-the amount member countries contribute to the IMF-were increased to $41 billion – today they are about $300 billion What Has Happened To Exchange Rates Since 1973?Since 1973, exchange rates have been more volatile and less predictable than they were between 1945 and 1973 because ofthe 1971 oil crisisthe loss of confidence in the dollar after U.S. inflation in 1977-78the 1979 oil crisisthe rise in the dollar between 1980 and 1985the partial collapse of the European Monetary System in 1992the 1997 Asian currency crisisWhat Has Happened To Exchange Rates Since 1973?Major Currencies Dollar Index, 1973-2008Which Is Better – Fixed Rates Or Floating Rates?Floating exchange rates provideMonetary policy autonomyremoving the obligation to maintain exchange rate parity restores monetary control to a governmentAutomatic trade balance adjustmentsunder Bretton Woods, if a country developed a permanent deficit in its balance of trade that could not be corrected by domestic policy, the IMF would have to agree to a currency devaluationWhich Is Better – Fixed Rates Or Floating Rates?But, a fixed exchange rate system Provides monetary disciplineensures that governments do not expand their money supplies at inflationary ratesMinimizes speculationcauses uncertaintyReduces uncertaintypromotes growth of international trade and investmentWho Is Right?There is no real agreement as to which system is better A fixed exchange rate regime modeled along the lines of the Bretton Woods system will not workBut a different kind of fixed exchange rate system might be more enduring and might foster the kind of stability that would facilitate more rapid growth in international trade and investmentWhat Type of Exchange Rate System Is In Practice Today?Various exchange rate regimes are followed today14% of IMF members follow a free float policy28% of IMF members follow a managed float system22% of IMF members have no legal tender of their ownthe remaining countries use less flexible systems such as pegged arrangements, or adjustable pegs What Type of Exchange Rate System Is In Practice Today?Exchange Rate Policies, IMF Members, 2006What Is A Pegged Rate System?A country following a pegged exchange rate system, pegs the value of its currency to that of another major currencypopular among the worlds smaller nations adopting a pegged exchange rate regime can moderate inflationary pressures in a countryWhat Is A Currency Board?Countries using a currency board commit to converting their domestic currency on demand into another currency at a fixed exchange ratethe currency board holds reserves of foreign currency equal at the fixed exchange rate to at least 100% of the domestic currency issued the currency board can issue additional domestic notes and coins only when there are foreign exchange reserves to back themWhat Is The Role Of The IMF Today?Today, the IMF focuses on lending money to countries in financial crisisA currency crisis occurs when a speculative attack on the exchange value of a currency results in a sharp depreciation in the value of the currency, or forces authorities to expend large volumes of international currency reserves and sharply increase interest rates in order to defend prevailing exchange ratesA banking crisis refers to a situation in which a loss of confidence in the banking system leads to a run on the banks, as individuals and companies withdraw their depositsA foreign debt crisis is a situation in which a country cannot service its foreign debt obligations, whether private sector or government debtWhat Was The Asian Currency Crisis?The 1997 Southeast Asian financial crisis was caused by events that took place in the previous decade includingAn investment boom-fueled by huge increases in exports Excess capacity-investments were based on projections of future demand conditions High debt-investments were supported by dollar-based debtsExpanding imports – caused current account deficitsWhat Was The Asian Currency Crisis?By mid-1997, several key Thai financial institutions were on the verge of defaultspeculation against the bahtThailand abandoned the baht peg and allowed the currency to floatThe IMF provided a $17 billion bailout loan package required higher taxes, public spending cuts, privatization of state-owned businesses, and higher interest ratesWhat Was The Asian Currency Crisis?Speculation caused other Asian currencies including the Malaysian Ringgit, the Indonesian Rupaih and the Singapore Dollar to fallThese devaluations were mainly driven by excess investment, high borrowings, much of it in dollar denominated debt, and a deteriorating balance of payments positionThe IMF provided a $37 billion aid package for Indonesiarequired public spending cuts, closure of troubled banks, a balanced budget, and an end to crony capitalismThe IMF provided a $55 billion aid package to South Korearequired a more open banking system and economy, and restraint by chaebol
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